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Box Office Report (Fri. Jun 30-Sun. July 2)

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Box Office for the weekend of June 30- July 2, 2006.
 
1.  Superman Returns    52,150,000    84,208,000    4065    1
2.  The Devil...Prada      27,000,000   27,000,000    2847    1
3.  Click                      19,400,000    77,918,000    3764    2
4.  Cars                      14,035,000   182,056,000    3706    4
5.  Nacho Libre              6,186,000    64,959,000    3082    3
6.  The Lake House        4,510,000    38,735,000     2645    3
7.  Tokyo Drift              4,432,000     51,666,000    2670    3
8.  Waist Deep              3,312,000    15,175,000     1006    2
9.  The Break-Up           2,830,000   110,069,000    1912    5
10. The Da Vinci Code    2,300,000   209,793,000    1384    7
11. X-Men: Last Stand   2,050,000   228,533,000    1558    6
 
Above is the Box Office for the Weekend of July 1-2, 2006. 
 
I was surprised that Superman Returns didn't make more than 52 mil in its opening weekend but I guess its 32 mil during late Tuesday, Wednesday and Thursday was a great start for the Box Office behemoth.  I expect Superman Returns to gross another 20 or 30 mil, if not more, next weekend.  This is my pick for the highest grossing movie of the summer because I think when Superman Returns is done, we could have a new addition to the top 20 in the Box Office All Time.  I am talking 306 mil+ lifetime.  I would be glad if it landed in the top 4 but that is very unlikely.  Titanic, Star Wars and Shrek 2 deserve their top spots (1, 2 and 3 respectively) but ET: The Extraterrestrial (#4) needs to go...
 
The Devil Wears Prada came second to Superman Returns and will soon be below 5th place in the coming weeks.  I expect this film to die out by the middle of July.  It may get 10 or 15 mil next weekend.  That would be amazing to me.
 
Click is going strong again with almost 20 mil this weekend.  I think it will have three or four more 10 mil+ weekends and could be almost to 200 mil in a few weeks.  This film looks like it has the power to stand up to old comedy flicks like Bruce Almighty that deal with supernatural interactions.  I wouldn't doubt it if Click made it into the top 100 in the Box Office during its lifetime.
 
Cars, the Pixar film, is going strong, now almost to the 200 mil mark.  I think Cars could make it to the high 200s and even low 300s.  Too much publicity and advertising has went along with Cars to have it not get at least 250 mil.  It is over halfway there.  I don't think it will rise to Finding Nemo status, but it could.
 
Nacho Libre surprised me greatly.  I didn't expect it to get more than 20 or 30 mil, but I think it could pass the 100 mil mark in its lifetime.  It is a small film that dwarved its budget.  Hopefully it stays in the top 10 for awhile. 
 
I honestly never heard of the Lake House, but I think it will slow down to almost nothing soon.  I am not expecting more than 4-5 mil next weekend and it most likely wont hit 100 mil in its life.
 
Fast and the Furious: Tokyo Drift is surprising me.  I expected it to do a little bit better than it has been.  I thought it would end around 100 mil but at the rate its going, it won't make it to 200 and I'd be surprised if it made it past 125 or 150 mil. 
 
Waist Deep, another small film.  I respect the Independents but they just don't get anywhere in the Box Office, regardless of how good the movie is.  I'm expecting it to drop below the top 10 in less than 2 weeks. 
 
The Break Up.  Another one that surprised me.  Not long ago, it stayed ahead of Da Vinci Code for a week I think and now it is at almost 110 mil!  I didn't expect this film to do really anything, but now I am rethinking what I originally thought.  I could possibly go over 200 mil if it tried hard enough, but I am only expecting about 150-185 mil.  It'll drop from the top 10 in about 2-3 weeks or less.
 
The Da Vinci Code.  This did extremely well considering its related to religion.  Passion of the Christ did good, so why not this?  It is over 200 mil and I would think it would be amazing if it surpassed 300 mil.  My estimate is that it will leave the top 10 in two weeks and will only receive 230-280 mil.  That is still a hefty gross for it.  It's opening weekend was superior but it kind of died later on.  How will it do?  We'll find out in the weeks to come.
 
X-Men: The Last Stand kind of surprised me.  There were already 2 X-Men movies and one made the top 100 in the Box Office All-Time.  I thought this one would die early but it managed 228 mil!  I would not be surprised if it made the 250 mark in a few weeks.  Long live the X-Men I guess...
 
(Coming soon...)
 
JULY 7th-- Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Man's Chest
 
Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Man's Chest will make a hefty gross, no doubt, but I don't think it has the power to defeat the first in its series (305 mil gross).  I look for about 270 mil but probably no more than 305.  It's first weekend?  About 80-120 mil in 4000 theaters.  Yes, you guessed it.... FOUR THOUSAND THEATERS.  Only a few movies in history have ever been admitted into over 4000 theaters.  Shrek 2, Spiderman 2, Superman Returns & Shark Tale are 4 of them.  This is the fifth.  If you think about it though.  Of the 5 admitted into more than 4000 theaters, 1 made only 160 mil and 2 are in the top 10.  Superman Returns is still climbing and so will Dead Man's Chest.
 
JULY 14th- You, Me & Dupree
 
Not much to say about this film except that I doubt it will make the 100 mil mark.  It has a lot of publicity behind it, but it will most likely die early.  This film is no Box Office behemoth.  It is only a small snake.
 
JULY 21st- Lady In the Water
 
I really like M. Night Shyamalan's films.  He has a great way of making twisted films and films about the supernatural.  He did well with Sixth Sense (#22 All-Time), Unbreakable (#231 All-Time), Signs (#50 All-Time), The Village (#230 All-Time). 
 
He didn't do much with Unbreakable and The Village though as they earned 95 and 114 mil respectively, but Signs and Sixth Sense were two of the best movies of All-Time.  Lady In The Water is yet to make an impression but I think with his movie talents, it could make a 30 mil opening weekend easily.  As for lifetime, that is undeterminable.

Copyright 2006 by Zone Twenty.